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# One coastal resilience map was not enough for China’s local bays
- URL: https://intelligence.wildlandseco.com/2026-10-14-china-coastal-resilience-national-index-local-bays/
- Published: 2026-10-14T13:52:26.000Z
- Updated: 2026-10-14T13:52:26.000Z
- Description: A national land-and-water index and a nested Rongcheng diagnosis differed in what they could resolve; scores measured capacity, not observed recovery.
- Author: Benjamin Worlund
- Tags: China, coastal planning, resilience index, scale, Oceans, Governance, Climate, GIS, #ecological-intelligence, #brief-2026-10-14, #global-radar, #peer-reviewed, #geo-asia

Evidence

Peer-reviewed

Geography

Mainland China and Rongcheng, Shandong, China

System

Coastal social-ecological land–sea system

## WHAT THE EVIDENCE SAYS

A three-tier, ten-attribute spatial framework combined nominal-2025 national indicators with a separately weighted local case study. National means were 0.359 for coastal land and 0.470 for coastal waters; more detailed Rongcheng maps exposed within-bay variability, including aquaculture-influenced areas.

## WHY IT MATTERS / OUR READ

A national index can screen for places that need attention, but monitoring and management limits must be set at the scale of local ecological and institutional processes.

## CAVEATS / UNCERTAINTY

These are model-derived composite capacity scores, not verified post-storm recovery or a causal test. National and local values cannot be compared directly because their indicators and weightings differ.

## SOURCE

Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution — primary coastal index analysis  
[View original evidence ↗](https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2026.1969265?ref=intelligence.wildlandseco.com)

From the Morning Brief · 2026-10-14

[Read the full Morning Brief →](https://intelligence.wildlandseco.com/morning-brief-2026-10-14/)